2012年11月1日 星期四

2012-11-01 資金仍盛,市底強

國指及恒指仍守20天線上,昨上升,成交大。國指升穿小時圖雙底,小型調整可能完結。

資金仍盛:
人民幣、港元仍強,金管局昨再注27億港元
資金吸納多隻追蹤中國股票的ETFA50中國(2823)過去兩周增發3.3億個基金單位,吸資逾27億元。美國上市的新華富時25 ETF截至上周五止的過去兩周吸資近78億港元

策略:未來1-2星期似仍是安全期,仍可選股短線炒買。現時似A股最值搏,而國指亦較恒指好
Focus list: 2823, 3049, 135
中國國家能源局修訂《天然氣利用政策》草案,首次將「城際客貨運輸車輛」列為「優先使用天然氣」類別。昆侖能源(135)將受惠,因其中一項主要業務為LNG(主要用作汽車及船舶燃料)供應

Others: Premium to NAV of iShares A50 indicates stronger trend of Chinese stock market ahead
The change of premium or discount to NAV of iShares A50 is a good indicator of to FTSE A50 index. I.e. premium increase (while FTSE A50 index drops) hints an uptrend for FTSE A50 index afterwards, and vice versa.
Note: FTSE A50 index is the index which A50 tracks and has a strong correlation to Chinese stock market indexes Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen 300). (Fig. 2)
As the premium has been increasing in the past 3 months while FTSE A50 index was on a downtrend, it hints on an uptrend for FTSE A50 index and thus the Chinese stock market.

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